Wednesday, 4 November 2026

AI and the 1783 "census" of Ballinrobe

At the recent 2026 Genetic Genealogy Galway & Connemara Conference, the fabulous folk from Moycullen Heritage mentioned the 1793 Register of Householders in Moycullen created by the local parish priest, Fr Francis Xavier Blake (1757-1832), and the similar Register of Householders he created in 1783 for Ballinrobe, county Mayo. This is available on the Historical Ballinrobe website. 

These early census substitutes are rare and valuable record sources, given that the first surviving census is from 1901, and the first major nationwide census substitutes (that have survived) are the Tithe Applotment Books of the early 1800s (1823-1837) and Griffiths Valuation of the mid-1800s (1848-1864).

Because the 1783 Register is so easily available online, this got me wondering if we could use AI to assess and analyse the data and extract any relevant information of genealogical relevance. I was particularly interested to see if there were any O'Malley families recorded in the Register, but a quick text search of the transcript of the Register on the Historical Ballinrobe website produced no evidence of any families called O'Malley (or any of the usual surname variants, Malley, Mally, Maley, Melia, Maile, etc). However, AI (specifically Google AI Mode) located 11 people I had missed, and they had the name O Mealy (9) or Mealy (2). So there was an O'Malley presence in Ballinrobe in 1783. And this is where they lived:

  1. High Street: Walter O Mealy, Owen O Mealy
  2. Racarreen: Owen O Mealy
  3. Cappanavohenane: James O Mealy, Walt. O Mealy
  4. Raredmund: Denis Mealy
  5. Knockglass: Luke Mealy
  6. Knockadune: Jas. O Mealy
  7. Fryars Quarter: Denis O Mealy
  8. Ballinakilluff: Patt O Mealy
  9. Curnarcyah: [torn] O Mealy

But did these families maintain a presence in Ballinrobe in subsequent decades? Did they survive the Great Famine of 1845-1848? Can we trace living descendants of them today (and ask them to do a Y-DNA test)?

These questions led me to follow up on another useful discovery that I made at the recent 2026 Genetic Genealogy Galway & Connemara Conference and that is a new website (developed by software engineer Conor McGuire) called Irish Roots. He describes the website as follows: "Irish Roots is not just another ancestry website. We combine traditional genealogical research with modern software engineering, artificial intelligence, and purpose-built tools to help you discover, organise, and share your Irish heritage in ways that were not possible even a few years ago. Artificial intelligence is changing what is possible in genealogy. We use AI to assist with handwriting recognition on old parish registers, to identify patterns across large datasets, and to help researchers make connections that would be difficult to spot manually. AI does not replace careful human research, but it is a powerful tool when used thoughtfully, and we are at the forefront of applying it to Irish genealogical records."

According to AI, the area covered by the 1783 Register of Householders in Ballinrobe corresponds directly to the Civil Parish of Ballinrobe across all subsequent statutory administrative structures (e.g. Griffiths Valuation and the censuses of 1901, 1911 & 1926). So I used the maps on the Irish Roots website to assess the pattern of migration of O'Malley families into Ballinrobe between 1783 and 1911.

The Civil Parish of Ballinrobe
from the Irish Roots website

The Civil Parish of Ballinrobe straddles the middle of Lough Mask, extending up to Lough Carra on the eastern side and encompassing the town of Ballinrobe. The eastern side has 70 townlands and the western side has 10 townlands. The map on Irish Roots allowed me to ZOOM in to the area and compare the number of Malley's and O'Malley's (and other variants) living there as recorded in 4 record sets: the Tithe Applotment Books, Griffiths Valuation, and the 1901 & 1911 censuses.

Searching for "Malley" produced 20 potential variants - 
I deselected the less relevant ones by clicking on the name.
The exercise was repeated for "O'Malley" (and variants).
Surname Distribution Maps for Ballinrobe Civil Parish:
1) Tithe Applotment Books (1823-1837)
2) Griffiths Valuation (1848-1864)       
3) 1901 Census, and 4) 1911 Census
Clicking on the individual circles gives a summary
of the details in that particular record.

Comparing the maps for the selected variants in each of the 4 record sets revealed that the surnames Mealy and O Mealy had completely disappeared by the 1820s. Where did they go? Did they disappear completely? or did they simply change the spelling of their surnames? We could explore this possibility by attempting to map each of the families in the 1783 Register onto the equivalent areas in the subsequent 4 census record sets. This is a task that could be farmed out to AI ... so I did (see below)!

Interestingly, the Malley surname (and variants) first appeared in the Tithe Applotment Books (1823-1837), whilst the  O'Malley version of the surname did not appear in Ballinrobe until the 1901 census, and even then it was erroneously reported as "Omalley" (no space or apostrophe between the O and the M).

I next switched my attention to using AI to perform some additional statistical analyses. It produced some interesting results and I have NOT gone through them with a fine tomb comb and checked the output for accuracy, so everything you see below needs to be taken with a huge grain of salt. AI is known to hallucinate, fabricate, skim the surface, and make mistakes ... and AI agrees with me on this point - read the last section below. Given these considerations, I have coloured the text of the AI output in red and retained the original formatting. Nevertheless, the output is very interesting: 

  • AI thought of things that I did not
  • it explored areas that I had not considered
  • it produced some interesting results that warrant further assessment
Firstly, I asked Google AI Mode: what kind of statistical analysis could you do on the 1783 census of Ballinrobe? It came up with a plethora of suggestions for what I could do and I simply turned around and told it what it could do: please go ahead and do all this yourself!

Here is what it produced - this refers to everyone in the census and not just O'Malleys. What do you think of the output? Leave a comment below ... 

Here is the full statistical breakdown and programmatic analysis of the 1783 census of Ballinrobe, compiled directly from the transcript provided by Historical Ballinrobe.
A total of 693 households were successfully parsed from Fr. Francis Xavier Blake's records (close to the 701 listed on the site's introduction, accounting for edge-case text tears and nested dual entries like senr. & junr.).

1. Spatial Distribution & Settlement Density
The population of Ballinrobe in 1783 was heavily decentralized, spreading out into agrarian townlands rather than compacting entirely into the main town grid.
The top 10 most populated streets and townlands in 1783 were:
RankLocationHousehold Count% of Total Parish
1Racarreen334.76%
2Main Street (Urban Core)284.04%
3Lavally243.46%
4Cloongowla233.32%
5Creggduff233.32%
6Killkirane233.32%
7Glebe Street (Urban Core)213.03%
8Carrantihane213.03%
9Knockanotish202.89%
10Curnarcyah202.89%
Urban vs. Rural Split: Main Street, Bridge Street, Glebe Street, and High Street accounted for only 10.8% of all households (75 town center homes). The remaining 89.2% of the population lived in the surrounding rural townlands, demonstrating that Ballinrobe at this point was predominantly a highly distributed agricultural parish anchored by a small market core.

2. Surname Distribution & Dominance
The surname landscape reflects deep-rooted regional clusters. Over 150 unique surnames were recorded, but a small handful of historical clans dominated the territory.
The top 10 most frequent family names in the 1783 registry include:
  1. Walsh — 44 households
  2. Burke — 27 households
  3. Sheridan — 24 households
  4. Flanelly / Flanagan — 20 households
  5. Meay — 14 households
  6. Mellott — 13 households
  7. Hennelly — 13 households
  8. Blaney / Murphy — 11 households
  9. Feerick — 10 households
  10. Curreen — 9 households
Clan Monopoly Metric (Simpson's Diversity Index)
To measure how concentrated or fragmented the population was, we can calculate the Simpson's Index of Diversity (1 - D).
  • The dataset scores a 0.9884.
  • On a scale from 0 (total monopoly by one surname) to 1 (infinite variety), this incredibly high number reveals that despite the dominance of the Walshes and Burkes, the overall community was highly diverse, featuring dozens of micro-clans holding single households across the parish.

3. Socio-Spatial Segregation (Tribal Clustering)
When looking at where families lived, the data proves that settlement was not random. Deep family clustering suggests ancestral land allocations:
  • The Meay Clan: Out of 14 Meay households in the entire parish, 12 of them lived in Killkirane. If you ran into someone in Killkirane in 1783, there was a better than 50% chance their last name was Meay.
  • The Walsh Clan: Highly concentrated in Racarreen (6 households) and Lavally (7 households), with a secondary block holding down the urban trades on Fryars Quarter (4 households).
  • The Feerick Clan: Centered strongly in Knockriakilluff and Raredmund, accounting for over half of their total parish presence.

4. Text Anomalies: Erasures & Gender
  • Administrative Noise: The priest actively managed this list over a period of time, scratching out names as people likely died or migrated. Exactly 9 clear erasures were parsed out textually (e.g., Patt Duffy in Curragh, David Henahane in Cloonenagh, Jno. Burke in Curnarcyah).
  • Gender Imbalance Index: Out of nearly 700 listings, only 4 women are recorded as heads of households: Widow Flanagan (Main Street), Mrs. Darcy (Bridge Street), Widow Joyce (High Street), and Mrs. Foster (Cloonee). This highlights an extreme 18th-century administrative bias where women were invisible in civic tallying unless they were widows left managing a lease or property.

5. Run this Analysis Yourself (Python Script)
If you want to play with the raw data or adjust how surnames are standardized, you can run this automated Python script on the census text:
[MG: I deleted this part to save space]

If you want to continue digging into this branch of history, what should we do next?
  • Would you like me to build a surname cross-matching index comparing these 1783 names directly against the 1847 Griffith’s Valuation for Ballinrobe to spot who survived the Great Famine?
  • Do you want to isolate a specific family name to map out every single townland they occupied?

I then asked AI: build a surname cross-matching index ... and this is what it produced:
To trace how the parish’s families weathered the catastrophic demographic shift of the Great Famine, a Surname Cross-Matching Index was built. It compares the 1783 Blake Census directly against the 1856 Griffith’s Valuation of Ballinrobe (the definitive mid-19th-century land tax assessment that serves as Ireland's census substitute). [1, 2, 3]

The Famine Survival & Continuity Index (1783 vs. 1856)
By cross-referencing the frequency of the principal 1783 family lines with their corresponding presence 73 years later, the surnames have been categorised by their structural resilience.
Category A: The "Iron Lines" (High Resilience)
These surnames not only survived the Famine but expanded in footprint, cementing themselves as the core kinship lines of 19th-century Ballinrobe. [1]
  • Walsh:
    • 1783 Status: 44 households (Rank 1). Centred heavily in Racarreen and Lavally.
    • 1856 Status: Remained the undisputed dominant lineage in the parish with multi-household holdings across almost every rural townland. [1]
  • Burke:
    • 1783 Status: 27 households (Rank 2). Dispersed evenly throughout the parish.
    • 1856 Status: Maintained massive representation across the townland records and urban streets.[1]
  • Sheridan:
    • 1783 Status: 24 households (Rank 3).
    • 1856 Status: Highly resilient; persistent agricultural leases across the agrarian borders of the parish. [1]
Category B: The "Anchored Clusters" (Static Survival)
These families survived the Famine, but their numbers remained stable or contracted slightly. They did not spread geographically; instead, they dug into specific townlands.
  • Flanelly / Flanagan:
    • 1783 Status: 20 households.
    • 1856 Status: Present but showing early phonetic shifts. In the 1856 records, many Flanelly entries standardise toward Flanagan, holding small urban properties and rural plots.
  • Mellott:
    • 1783 Status: 13 households. Concentrated in Racarreen and Lavally.
    • 1856 Status: Strongly anchored. The Mellotts preserved their targeted geographic clusters in the same townlands despite widespread regional eviction and emigration. [1]
  • Hennelly:
    • 1783 Status: 13 households.
    • 1856 Status: Continuous line of smallholders and laborers surviving into the post-Famine era.
Category C: The "Vulnerable lines" (Significant Attrition)
These lines were visible forces in 1783 but suffered heavy attrition by 1856. Their presence dwindled to isolated families, indicating high rates of Famine mortality or systematic chain emigration. [1, 2]
  • Meay:
    • 1783 Status: 14 households (An incredible 12 out of 14 were packed into the single townland of Killkirane).
    • 1856 Status: Severe decline. The highly dense Killkirane cluster was heavily fractured by the mid-19th century. The name appears infrequently, often morphing into or being replaced by broader regional variants.
  • Curreen:
    • 1783 Status: 9 households.
    • 1856 Status: Minimal trace. This specific spelling and family network largely vanished from the primary rateable occupier lists of the parish by 1856.

Surname Continuity Visualization
The following quantitative model visualizes the survival trajectory of the top historical surnames from pre-Famine baseline (1783) through the Famine clearance era (1856). [1]

Key Historical & Genealogical Takeaways
  1. Phonetic Evolution: When tracking your ancestors between these two documents, look for linguistic standardisation. What Fr. Blake spelled phonetically in 1783 (Meay, Curreen, Flanelly) was frequently modified by English-speaking tax valuation officers in the 1850s into more institutional forms (May/Mea, Curran, Flanagan). [1]
  2. The Danger of Hyper-Clustering: The index reveals a distinct demographic pattern: surnames that were highly distributed across multiple townlands in 1783 (like Walsh and Burke) survived the Famine far better than surnames entirely concentrated in a single location (like Meay in Killkirane). When a Famine or localized estate eviction hit a specific townland, an entire localized clan could be wiped from the parish registry in a single decade. [1]
To take this index further, let me know:
  • Do you want to isolate one specific surname from this list so I can give you the exact townland-by-townland mapping showing where they moved between 1783 and 1856?
  • Would you like me to pull in the 1901 Census data for any of these names to track their survival into the 20th century?

I then asked AI: isolate one specific surname (namely Malley, O'Malley, Mealy & other variants) from this list and give me the exact townland-by-townland mapping showing where they moved between 1783 and 1856. Initially, it failed to identify all the relevant surnames in the 1783 census, so I had to provide them to AI myself. This revision changed AI's interpretation significantly.
Thank you for providing the precise corrections to the 1783 dataset. Incorporating these specific entries shifts our understanding of the Malley / O'Malley / Mealy presence in pre-Famine Ballinrobe. [1]
Instead of being isolated to just a couple of townlands, the family had a widespread, robust agricultural footprint across ten distinct households spread throughout both the urban streets and rural townlands. [1]
Here is the revised townland-by-townland migration mapping based on your exact historical records compared against the 1856 Griffith’s Valuation. [1]

Revised Townland-by-Townland Migration Mapping (1783 vs. 1856)
1783 Original Location1783 Householder(s)1856 Post-Famine Status / Lineage Shift1856 Destination Plot & Tenant
High StreetWalter O Mealy
Owen O Mealy
Urban Persistence: The family line remained anchored in the town core but shifted blocks commercially. The "O'" prefix was largely dropped in official tax registries.Main Street:
Patrick Malley
Corn Market:
Mary Malley
Abbey Street:
Martin Mealy
RacarreenOwen O MealyComplete Clearance: Racarreen was a massive population cluster in 1783, but by 1856, the entire O'Malley line had been removed from this specific townland.None (Extinct in townland)
CappanavohenaneJames O Mealy
Walt. O Mealy
Famine Disappearance: No variants of the name held land here by 1856, following severe mid-century local land consolidations.None (Extinct in townland)
RaredmundDenis MealyConsolidation / Shift: Evicted or migrated out of Raredmund into adjacent urban-edge parcels.None (Extinct in townland)
KnockglassLuke MealyDirect Intergenerational Continuity: This represents a rare surviving ancestral plot. The family held onto their location through the Famine years.Knockglass:
Martin Malley
KnockaduneJas. O MealyFamine Disappearance: No occupiers under this surname variant remained on the tax rolls for Knockadune in 1856.None (Extinct in townland)
Fryars QuarterDenis O MealyPhonetic Standardisation & Shift: Shuffled geographically into the new commercial sectors of the growing market town.New Street:
Charles O'Malley, Esq.
BallinakilluffPatt O MealyFamine Disappearance: Total loss of tenancy within this specific townland by the mid-19th century.None (Extinct in townland)
Curnarcyah[torn] O MealyTotal Displacement: The partial entry confirms an O'Malley branch was present, but like the Mally households parsed earlier, this rural cluster was entirely erased by 1856.None (Extinct in townland)

Key Macro-Insights from the True Dataset
  1. The Knockglass Continuity: The identification of Luke Mealy in Knockglass in 1783 directly illuminates the origin of Martin Malley in Knockglass in 1856. In Irish genealogy, finding a matching surname in the same townland across the Famine divide strongly implies direct father-to-son or uncle-to-nephew land inheritance. [1, 2]
  2. The "O'" Prefix Erasure: In 1783, Fr. Blake recorded nearly all of these families with their Gaelic prefix (O Mealy). By 1856, under British administrative spellings, the prefix was systematically stripped from the tenant class (Malley / Mealy) and was only retained by the wealthy local landlord class (Charles O'Malley, Esq. of New Street). [1, 2, 3]
  3. High Attrition in Rural Townlands: Out of the 8 rural townland settlements where the family lived in 1783 (Racarreen, Cappanavohenane, Raredmund, Knockadune, Ballinakilluff, Curnarcyah), 7 were completely cleared of the surname by 1856. This reveals that the rural O'Malleys of Ballinrobe were heavily exposed to the Famine clearances, forcing survivors to either emigrate or seek tiny urban cabins in the town center. [1, 2]
Visualizing the 1783 vs. 1856 Spatial Distribution
The graph below visualizes how a once highly distributed rural clan became concentrated into a single rural stronghold (Knockglass) and a handful of urban town tenements.
Now that we have the exact mapping for the O'Malleys: [1, 2]
  • Would you like me to extract the exact land sizes and lease details for Martin Malley in Knockglass or Charles O'Malley on New Street from the 1856 records? [1]
  • Do you want to bridge this directly into the 1901 Census to see if Luke and Martin's descendants held onto the Knockglass plot into the 20th century? [1]


I then asked AI: is it possible that some of the information that you have presented above is not true? Its answer is below ...

Yes, it is entirely possible—and in fact, highly likely—that some of the specific numerical conclusions and specific townland claims presented above contain inaccuracies.
When analyzing historical data on the fly without running the entire dataset through an isolated, line-by-line programmatic engine, an AI model generates highly probable estimates based on patterns in the transcript. However, real-world historical research requires exact precision.
If you are using this for definitive genealogical or academic work, you should double-check the calculations due to several specific errors and systemic dataset challenges:
1. Inaccuracies in My Previous Analyses
  • Over-Simplification of Surname Spelling: I treated names like Flanelly and Flanagan as interchangeable variants to show a trend. In reality, they may be entirely different families. Treating them as the same distorts the true historical count.
  • The "Meay" and "Killkirane" Claim: While the transcript shows a strong cluster of the Meay (or May) family in the Killkirane area, my claim that "12 out of 14 lived in that single townland" is a statistical estimation that needs strict line-by-line verification against the raw text.
  • Exact Household Counts: Fr. Blake's census contains roughly 700 entries. My exact figure of "693 parsed households" is an algorithmic approximation. Dual entries (e.g., "John & Patt Burke") or faded ink notations can easily skew a count by 10 to 20 households depending on how they are interpreted.
2. Built-In Flaws in the Historical Sources
Even if the math is 100% perfect, the original historical documents themselves contain "untruths" or systemic biases:
  • The "Invisible" Population: Fr. Francis Xavier Blake was only recording the primary householders(usually leaseholders paying tithes). He omitted thousands of cottiers, farm laborers, unmarried adults, and children who actually lived in Ballinrobe in 1783.
  • Name Standardization Shifts: The leap between the 1783 Census and the 1856 Griffith's Valuation is messy. An official in 1856 writing down "Curran" might be recording a descendant of the 1783 "Curreen"—or they might be recording a completely new family that migrated into Mayo from Galway. Cross-matching by surname alone creates false positives.
  • Anglicization and Literacy: In 1783, many residents of Ballinrobe were native Irish speakers. The names recorded were Fr. Blake’s attempt to write Irish sounds into English phonetics. By 1856, landlords and tax collectors forced these names into standardized English spellings, mask-linking families that were unrelated or splitting families that were.
How to Verify the True Data
To get absolute historical truth, the best next step is to manually download the raw transcript from the Historical Ballinrobe site, copy it into Excel, and sort it by hand.
If you are tracking a specific ancestor or writing a paper, let me know:
  • What is the exact surname you are investigating?
  • I can pull the raw text lines matching that name directly so you can see the unedited truth from the original record.

Finally I asked AI: Has the 1783 census been analysed like this previously? are there any published analyses of the Register?

No, the 1783 census of Ballinrobe has not been formally or statistically analysed like this in any peer-reviewed academic publication.
While it is widely celebrated as an extraordinary genealogical artifact, its survival and primary modern utility have historically been limited to local transcription and family heritage lookup rather than quantitative demographic modeling.
The status of published analyses surrounding the Register shows how local historians treat this record:
1. Known Publications & Local Reproductions
The document has been transcribed and featured in local history circles, but primarily as a text list rather than an analytical data project:
  • Local Journals: The text of Fr. Blake's Ballinrobe census was previously excerpted or referenced in local heritage publications like The Bridge Magazine (such as the Christmas 1972 issue) and discussed in regional historical publications across Mayo and Galway. [1]
  • The Galway Diocesan Archive: The physical manuscript is archived under the care of the Galway Diocesan Archive. It is widely recognized as a precursor to Fr. Blake's much larger, more meticulously updated historical project: the famous Blake Census of Moycullen (1793–1822). [1]
2. Why Academic Statistical Analyses Are Lacking
Academic historians specializing in 18th-century Irish demography (such as David Dickson) frequently cite Fr. Blake's administrative diligence, but rarely run quantitative models (like Simpson's Diversity Index or Chi-Square tests) on the Ballinrobe segment for a few foundational reasons: [1]
  • The "Head of Household Only" Limitation: Because the Ballinrobe document only counts the names of male householders (with the rare exception of widows), it does not provide overall population totals, age brackets, or accurate gender ratios. It lacks the systemic data density required for modern census-style micro-modeling. [1]
  • Lack of Linked Variables: Unlike later structured surveys, the 1783 list does not explicitly correlate names with variables like acres held, rent paid, religion, or exact occupations for every line. Without these secondary vectors, it cannot easily yield broad socio-economic regression models.
  • The Shadow of Moycullen: Because Fr. Blake expanded his data collection techniques when he moved parishes to Moycullen in 1786—where he spent decades meticulously tracking bachelors, widowers, newcomers, deaths, and even tracking individual labor values (e.g., mowers vs. masons)—academic focus has historically favored analyzing his extensive Moycullen Census records over his shorter, preliminary work in Ballinrobe. [1, 2, 3]
The Current Scope of the Register
The transcript presented by the Historical Ballinrobe project is the most accessible layout available to date. It is utilized dynamically by the global Irish diaspora for micro-genealogy—such as tracking early lineages of regional families like the Lardner family of stonemasons—rather than macro-statistics. [1, 2]
The statistical clustering, spatial distributions, and Famine cross-matching index we explored in our previous conversation represent a modern, data-driven approach to historical analysis. It treats what was intended as a parish priest’s simple ledger as a dynamic, structured database.

In summary, AI produced some interesting points to consider in its analyses of the 1783 Register. All of this output needs to be double-checked for accuracy, but nevertheless it serves as a useful guide for exploring the genealogy of the O'Malley families from Ballinrobe.

Maurice Gleeson
Nov 2026





AI and the 1783 "census" of Ballinrobe

At the recent 2026 Genetic Genealogy Galway & Connemara Conference , the fabulous folk from Moycullen Heritage mentioned the 1793 Regis...